Jiangxi: peak infection predicted for early January 2023 Two mutant strains exist

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According to Jiangxi release news, Jiangxi Province, the new crown pneumonia epidemic prevention and control work press conference (the thirty-eighth) held in Nanchang, the meeting introduced the next step of the province’s new crown pneumonia epidemic prevention and control work related to the situation.

Jiangxi has not found a new variant of the branch

At present, the development trend of the epidemic in our province shows four directions.

The overall trend of the epidemic in the province is on the rise

Due to the optimization of the nucleic acid detection strategy, there is currently no socially infected population data support, according to the provincial fever outpatient sentinel surveillance, December 9-22, the province’s fever outpatient clinic visits in medical institutions at the secondary level and above showed a continuous upward trend, with an average daily increase of 23.45%. Among them, the percentage of new coronavirus infections among fever clinic attendants rose from 8.5% on the 9th to 42.2% on the 16th, and then fluctuated down to 31.2% on the 22nd. 22nd, the positive detection rate among fever clinic attendants in six cities was higher than the provincial average, and the positive detection rate in five cities was lower than the provincial average.

The number of seriously ill patients is under control

From December 9 to 22, the province’s second-level and above medical institutions admitted a total of 18,172 people infected with the new crown pneumonia virus. Among them, 496 seriously ill patients were treated in designated hospitals mainly for underlying diseases and accompanied by New Coronavirus infection; only 3 seriously ill patients were treated in designated hospitals mainly for New Coronavirus infection. All seriously ill patients were treated centrally in tertiary general hospitals, and no fatal cases were reported. Combining clinical and scientific research progress, the proportion of serious illness and death caused by Omicron mutant strain is significantly lower than that of the previous original strain and the concerned mutant strain.

The province’s medical system is operating generally stable

At present, most of the asymptomatic and mildly infected patients choose home treatment. Although the number of fever outpatient visits to medical institutions at all levels has increased, the utilization rate of general beds has decreased, with a recent average utilization rate of 60.6%, and no crowding of medical resources has occurred. The province’s medical institutions are generally stable, orderly treatment, adequate resources to meet the normal demand for medical care.

4、No new mutation branch has been found in the province

The virus mutation monitoring data shows that there are two mutated strains of Omicron, BA.5.2 and BF.7, and the main epidemic strain is still BA.5.2. No new mutated branches of Omicron, such as BQ.1 and XBB, with significant changes in transmission, pathogenicity and immune escape, have been found in the province. We will continue to monitor the mutation of the virus and take targeted intervention measures in advance.

Build a barrier to protect health and reduce serious illness

In accordance with the decision and deployment of the provincial government, we will focus on the prevention and control goal of “controlling the epidemic, suppressing the peak, and reducing serious illnesses”, seize the valuable window period before the peak of the infected population, and make every effort to implement various prevention and control measures to ensure people’s life and health safety.

Strengthen the epidemic trend and peak analysis and research

The first wave of the epidemic in our province is predicted to reach the peak of infection in early January 2023 and turn into a low-level epidemic in early March 2023, with the epidemic lasting for about 3 months and the cumulative infection rate approaching 80% at that time. Currently, there are certain differences in the level of prevalence around the world, ushering in the peak time varies, it is expected that most areas will enter the peak of the epidemic in a week or so, and the development of the epidemic from young and strong working people to “an old and a small” spread, from urban to rural areas radiation trend, Jiangxi will be based on the progress of the epidemic, go all out to do a good job of medical According to the progress of the epidemic, Jiangxi will do its best to prepare for medical treatment.

Accelerate the vaccination of the elderly

The organization carried out a mapping survey of vaccination for the elderly, established a ledger one by one, and grasped the overall situation of vaccination for the elderly in the province, in which the first dose and full vaccination for people aged 60-79 were over 95%, and the first dose and full vaccination for people over 80 were over 90%. The survey data shows that since December 9, the number of vaccinations for people over 60 years old in the province has increased from 10,700 doses to 129,200 doses in a single day.

Focus on key areas of epidemic prevention and control

A working task force composed of provincial and municipal epidemic prevention and control experts was formed, and five epidemic prevention and control guidelines were issued for the public, institutions, large enterprises, public places, and townships (streets), etc. Targeted strengthening of epidemic prevention and control in key areas and places such as rural areas, elderly institutions, schools, and prisons, carrying out sentinel surveillance of new crown pneumonia in community populations, and guiding units and individuals to strengthen public health and social interventions to avoid large-scale aggregated outbreaks in a short period of time.

Promote the preparation and efficient allocation of medical resources

In accordance with the principle of “setting up as much as possible, receiving as much as possible, and treating as much as possible”, accelerating the setting up of fever clinics, as of December 22, the opening rate of fever clinics in hospitals above the second level in the province was 100%, and the opening rate of fever clinics in township health centers and community health service centers was 98.67%, and the addresses and contact numbers of fever clinics were announced to the society. Encourage localities to embed Baidu maps to facilitate public inquiries. Set up 87 designated hospitals for the treatment of the new crown pneumonia, complete the upgrading of sub (quasi) 44 designated hospitals, designated the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University and other three provincial hospitals for the treatment of critical illnesses at the provincial level.

Continuously optimize the classification and treatment process

According to the condition of patients infected with the new coronary pneumonia virus, a five-level diagnosis and treatment system has been established, including home, sub-designated hospitals, designated hospitals, critical care hospitals and designated hospitals at the provincial level, focusing on the treatment of critically ill patients. To strengthen the 120 emergency power provision and dispatching, all places expand the call seats according to no less than three times of the daily open seats to ensure that 120 can be called and delivered. At the same time, give full play to the characteristic advantages of Chinese medicine, the development of proprietary Chinese medicine and Chinese medicinal tablets catalog, guide the local inventory according to the list of the catalog; increase the physical reserves of various types of Chinese therapeutic prescriptions, carry out provincial, city, county, township, village five levels of Chinese physicians new crown pneumonia treatment training, grassroots medical and health institutions in accordance with the total population served 15-20% of the reserves of Chinese medicine.

Closely guard against possible risks of all kinds

A survey on the health status of vulnerable populations was organized and a management ledger was established for 5.824 million elderly people, of which 1.134 million (22%) were key populations; 813,000 (13%) were subkey populations; and 3.697 million (63%) were general populations. Health records were established for 110,000 pregnant women and 3.13 million children aged 0-6 in the province. Community grid-based management is vigorously implemented, with each grid equipped with a grid chief, a grid member, at least one grid doctor, a grid police officer, a grid pharmacy and a grid supermarket, to provide urban and rural residents with accurate and effective health management services. All efforts will be made to treat critically ill patients, regardless of whether they are infected with the new coronavirus, and to resolutely avoid large-scale extreme events.